Tuesday, March 15th, 2011 



It looks like the next snow event in our area is on tap for tomorrow, with low pressure tracking into Southern New England.  Checking in on the discussion from the BTV NWS, the snow level is expected to rise to the 1,500’ to 2,000’ range, with mixed snow and rain below that.  The point forecast for our elevation in the Winooski Valley at ~500’ suggests 1 to 3 inches of snow in the Wednesday timeframe, with a bit more possible on Wednesday and Thursday nights.  In his broadcast this morning, Roger Hill was suggesting the potential for a couple of inches of snow tomorrow morning affecting the commute.  Point forecasts for the higher elevations to our north have 2 to 4 inches in the Wednesday timeframe, and farther to the south, 3 to 5 inches is coming up where the NWS says a good combination of the surface track placement and 500 to 700 mb lift get together.  After that, the next storm is expected to come into the area Thursday, and provide precipitation chances through Sunday.  It’s another warm system, but there will be chances for snow, especially in the higher elevations. 

Wednesday, March 16th, 2011
Event totals: 0.2” Snow/0.03” L.E.

Evening update:  I was too busy earlier today to send off my morning observations, so I’m posting them now.  I looked outside and initially didn’t notice anything on the snowboard this morning, but once I checked there were a couple slushy tenths of an inch of accumulation.  Based on the consistency it seemed like there might have been some sleet in there along with snow, but at the time all that was in the air were some flakes.  With the time change it’s quite dark again on the bus in the morning, so I’m not sure what the precipitation was as we headed west through the Winooski Valley, but something was coming down.  No precipitation was falling when I arrived in Burlington.  


On a seasonal note, after pulling ahead for a bit thanks to the big storm that we had about 10 days ago, snowfall for the ‘10-‘11 season has fallen back behind where we were at this point in the ‘07-‘08 season.  This season is assured of being at least #2 for snowfall in the  records I have since 2006, as the total for ‘08-‘09 has already been surpassed.  


Some details from the 6:00 A.M. observations are below:  

New Snow: 0.2 inches
New Liquid: 0.03 inches
Snow/Water Ratio: 6.7
Snow Density: 15.0% H2O
Temperature: 33.4 F
Sky: Flurries
Snow at the stake: 25.0 inches
Thursday, March 17th, 2011

When I saw your posts about snowpack I realized that my snowpack data from the house had been cut off when I pasted in my observations.  Anyway it's at 25" as of this morning, which sounds similar to what's down in town there at Stowe.  One can really see the difference now with how the 1,500' snowpack you monitor is doing - at one point I recall you remarking how our snowpack at 500' and that one at 1,500' were surprising similar, but the 1,500’ one is notably higher now.  

Friday, March 18th, 2011

powderfreak, on 17 March 2011 - 08:07 PM, said:

I'd say by now after today's 50F weather here in town that we are down in the 23-24" range.  


That sounds right on track with what we're seeing Scott, I checked last night and this morning and the depth at our stake was 23.5".