March 1st, 2013 – Waterbury Winter Weather Event Updates

 

 

Friday, March 1st, 2013

 

 

With the completion of February, I’ll pass along where snowfall stands for this location.  The updated 2012-2013 monthly snowfall plot is below:

 

 

Relative to January snowfall (~50% of average), February snowfall was certainly improved (~75% of average) but obviously still low, so the overall season snowfall continues to slip relative to what is typical.  This past week or so has been very notable in that regard, as season snowfall has gone from ~90% of average (still roughly in the average range) to ~80% of average (definitely in the below average category).  It’s going to take a big March/April combo of 50+” to get to even an average season at this point.  It’s certainly happened before, but there will probably need to be some notable storms to get there.  Average snowfall from this point in the season is ~30”, so getting that would still produce a reasonable season total that was within one S.D.  We’ve got some snow falling outside right now with a couple tenths down on the board, so that’s a step in the right direction.

 

 

Saturday, March 2nd, 2013

 

 

Event totals: 0.7” Snow/0.05” L.E.

 

Large fluffy flakes last night eventually became much smaller, creating a very smooth, easily measurable snow surface on the snowboard this morning.  With the small flakes, the overall density came in at a fairly medium range 7.1% H2O.  Along with monitoring the precipitation here at the house, I’ll try my best to keep track of the snowfall obtained at the Vermont ski areas with regard to this upper level low.  These longer duration types of events can be a bit difficult in that regard, but we’ll see how it goes.  The current north to south listing of reported snow totals is below:

 

Jay Peak: 3”

Burke: 1”

Smuggler’s Notch: 0”

Stowe: 2”

Bolton Valley: 1”

Mad River Glen: 0”

Sugarbush: 0”

Pico: 1”

Killington: 1”

Okemo: T”

Bromley: 0”

Magic Mountain: 0”

Stratton: 0”

Mount Snow: 0”

 

Reading the BTV forecast discussion, it sounds like what we’re currently seeing is a bit of a snowfall lull, and the snow will pick up again later:

 

...SCT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO FEED MARITIME MOISTURE INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY FROM THE NE. N-NW FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA...ENHANCING SNOW OVER THE WESTERN SLOPES. MODELS SHOWING BRIEF PERIOD OF WEAKENED MOISTURE THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY BE REINFORCED BY MORE MOISTURE WHICH CAN BE SEEN CURRENTLY ENTERING THE SLV DELTA ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. SOME WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL ACCOMPANY THE MOISTURE LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...KEEPING CHC TO LIKELY POPS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

 

Details from the 7:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below:

 

New Snow: 0.7 inches

New Liquid: 0.05 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 14.0

Snow Density: 7.1% H2O

Temperature: 29.7 F

Sky: Light Snow (1 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 7.0 inches

 

 

powderfreak, on 02 Mar 2013 - 5:06 PM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png

Nice shots, Jayhawk...surprised you didn't snowshoe right up onto the roof of that structure ;)

A few shots from my neck of the woods today...skiing is excellent right now. Hard to find too much to complain about with a solid, deep base from top to bottom. Still crunchy on the lower third from Thursday afternoon when the warm temps moistened up the new snow and crust it over. Upper half of the mountain is golden. The usual spring-time type deal... but base depths are solid and the woods are wide open. The mountain is mostly skied out, from the Thursday storm, but the woods are still so soft with a little loose powder on top.

 

Indeed, great mountain shots guys, I’ve added a couple more below from today.

 

 

 

You’re spot on with the summary of the local ski conditions PF - since the snow is a bit punchy down low, and a lot of the lift accessed terrain has generally been skied out since the recent storm, it was a perfect day for some upper elevation backcountry/sidecountry.  I headed up to Bolton Valley this afternoon, used a lift assist to the ">Wilderness Summit, and then did a backside run followed by a sidecountry one back to the Village.  Man, the Bolton backside is simply loaded with snow; in the 2,500’ – 3,200’ elevation range I generally measured depths between 20 and 30 inches before reaching a real solid subsurface.  All that wind that I mentioned in my Bolton report from February 18th had to put the snow somewhere, and plenty of it got thrown to the leeward slopes.  Combined with all the recent snowfall from various storms, it’s mighty impressive.  The Mt. Mansfield Stake is at 63” as of yesterday evening, which is actually about a half foot below average, but at this time of year even being a bit below average means a pretty deep snowpack.  Since some of the recent snows were pretty dense when they fell, the skiing is generally only in the top several inches of the snowpack (especially with fat skis), and boy are obstacles getting buried.  There was some fairly substantial snowfall at times in the higher elevations this afternoon – I just about had to wear my goggles even while ascending because of the snow intensity at times.

 

It’s been a great winter evening down here in the valley as well – we went snowshoeing and the new snow falling really set the scene.  It’s been coming down with more intensity the past hour or so, and there’s 0.8” down on the snowboard as of 11:30 P.M., so we’ve already got more here tonight than last night.  I’ll do an analysis at midnight and see where we are at that point.

 

 

Sunday, March 3rd, 2013

 

 

Event totals: 1.6” Snow/0.10” L.E.

 

Details from the 12:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below:

 

New Snow: 0.9 inches

New Liquid: 0.05 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 18.0

Snow Density: 5.6% H2O

Temperature: 24.4 F

Sky: Light Snow (2-8 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 7.5 inches

 

 

Event totals: 1.9” Snow/0.11” L.E.

 

Details from the 7:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below:

 

New Snow: 0.3 inches

New Liquid: 0.01 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 30.0

Snow Density: 3.3% H2O

Temperature: 25.5 F

Sky: Flurries

Snow at the stake: 7.5 inches

 

 

I’ve updated the north to south storm totals for the Vermont ski areas associated with the current storm – it’s showing the classic trend of increasing amounts as one heads northward up the spine:

 

Jay Peak: 7”

Burke: 4”

Smuggler’s Notch: 5”

Stowe: 4”

Bolton Valley: 3”

Mad River Glen: 2”

Sugarbush: 2”

Pico: 2”

Killington: 2”

Okemo: 1”

Bromley: T”

Magic Mountain: 2”

Stratton: T”

Mount Snow: 1”

 

 

Monday, March 4th, 2013

 

 

Event totals: 2.1” Snow/0.11” L.E.

 

Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below:

 

New Snow: 0.2 inches

New Liquid: Trace

Temperature: 23.5 F

Sky: Cloudy

Snow at the stake: 7.0 inches

 

 

Below I’ve got the latest update on Vermont ski area snow totals for our ongoing event - north to south list:

 

Jay Peak: 9”

Burke: 6”

Smuggler’s Notch: 6”

Stowe: 4”

Bolton Valley: 3”

Mad River Glen: 2”

Sugarbush: 2”

Pico: 2”

Killington: 2”

Okemo: 1”

Bromley: 1”

Magic Mountain: 3”

Stratton: 2”

Mount Snow: 3”

 

 

Event totals: 2.4” Snow/0.12” L.E.

 

We had a bit of snow today, with 0.3” through 7:00 P.M., and it’s picked up this evening with another 0.4” down on the board.

 

Details from the 7:00 P.M. Waterbury observations are below:

 

New Snow: 0.3 inches

New Liquid: 0.01 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 30.0

Snow Density: 3.3% H2O

Temperature: 24.4 F

Sky: Light Snow (2-5 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 7.0 inches

 

 

Tuesday, March 5th, 2013

 

 

Event totals: 3.1” Snow/0.15” L.E.

 

Subsequent to the 7:00 P.M. clearing of the snowboard, another 0.7” fell overnight at the house.

 

Below I’ve added the north to south listing of Vermont ski area snow totals for our ongoing event as of this morning.  The continued light snow in the northern part of the state has pushed the snow totals notably higher at resorts in that region:

 

Jay Peak: 13”

Burke: 7”

Smuggler’s Notch: 9”

Stowe: 4”

Bolton Valley: 6”

Mad River Glen: 2”

Sugarbush: 3”

Pico: 2”

Killington: 2”

Okemo: 1”

Bromley: 1”

Magic Mountain: 3”

Stratton: 2”

Mount Snow: 3”

 

Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below:

 

New Snow: 0.7 inches

New Liquid: 0.03 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 23.3

Snow Density: 4.3% H2O

Temperature: 25.9 F

Sky: Cloudy

Snow at the stake: 7.5 inches

 

 

j24vt, on 05 Mar 2013 - 4:11 PM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png

 

0.2" this morning brings me past last year's season total.

 

Yeah, I’ve noticed a lot of the NNE folks over the past couple of weeks reporting that they have hit last season’s total.  We’re 3.0” away from last year’s total at our location, so we’re getting pretty close.  Average snowfall would have us hitting that mark on Feb 20, but we’re a couple weeks behind that pace at the moment.

 

 

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