January 16th, 2013 – Waterbury Winter Weather Event Updates

 

 

Saturday, January 12th, 2013

 

 

litchfieldlibations, on 11 Jan 2013 - 6:44 PM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png

 

Freak, would you say 10 inches is about par for the course up that way in mid winter or are you guys behind a little?>

 

powderfreak, on 11 Jan 2013 - 6:47 PM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png

 

Pretty par for the course for early January given what I've seen the past few years here. Real snowpack depth is Feb/March. Ironically, last year we had about the same as right now I think.

 

I saw this inquiry, so I ran the numbers for here at the house.  Yesterday for my 6:00 A.M. CoCoRaHS report the snow depth at the stake was 9.5”, and using my available data (‘07-‘08’11-‘12), the mean snowpack depth for January 11th comes in at 12.2 ± 5.4” (S.D.).  So, the current snow depth is a bit below average based on my limited five-year data set, but well within one S.D. and thus as PF indicated, nothing unusual.  Also worthy of note is the fact that on January 11th of last season, snow at the stake was only 4.5”, which is well outside one S.D. (-1.42 S.D.) in that data set and would certainly be considered more atypical.

 

 

Tuesday, January 15th, 2013

 

 

This evening was good timing for a snowpack water content analysis, since CoCoRaHS wants them on Wednesdays, and the pack seems to have settled down now after the recent warmth.  Anyway, tonight’s analysis revealed that there’s currently 1.06” of liquid in the snowpack, so a bit over an inch of liquid was lost since my last analysis one week ago.

 

 

Wednesday, January 16th, 2013

 

 

It was about an hour or so ago that light snow seemed to have started here in Burlington – quite light in intensity, but it’s accumulating fairly easily and there’s a dusting on the ground.

 

 

Snowfall here in Burlington has been a lot more robust that I thought it would be based on the forecast.  There’s been steady snow falling out there comprised of pretty large flakes, some up to ¾” in diameter.  I did a quick check outside and accumulation was right at an inch as of 1:30 P.M.  It seems like the BTV forecast discussion speaks to this observation a bit:

 

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

AS OF 1211 PM EST WEDNESDAY...MODERATE SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN UNEXPECTED BAND FORMING NORTH OF THIS MORNINGS MAIN PRECIPITATION SHIELD...NOW LOCATED ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF VERMONT AND NEW YORK. ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT STILL ON TRACK FROM THIS MORNING WITH TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 2-3" EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING...AND NOW LOOKING AT A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN VERMONT AND NEW YORK AS WELL. HAVE A GREAT AFTERNOON.

 

 

Event totals: 2.4” Snow/0.08” L.E.

 

Today’s snow was the first in nine days, which is definitely a long spell for around here.  It sounds like there’s the potential for some additional accumulation tonight with the arctic frontal passage.

 

Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations:

 

New Snow: 2.4 inches

New Liquid: 0.08 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 30.0

Snow Density: 3.3% H2O

Temperature: 27.0 F

Sky: Partly Cloudy

Snow at the stake: 6.5 inches

 

 

Thursday, January 17th, 2013

 

 

A quick glance at the graphics for our point forecast suggests that we’re getting back into a more typical winter pattern for the Northern Greens

 

 

In terms of outdoor recreation, a downside is that we’re probably dropping into the freezer on Monday, but that’s obviously better than being too warm in terms of the snowpack.  In his broadcast this morning, Roger Hill spoke to the building snowpack with the upcoming pattern.

 

The front hasn’t come through our area yet, but it looks like something is on the way:

 

 

 

The snow has stopped for now here in Burlington, but I’m monitoring the snow at the house via web cam, and it’s still snowing there.  Snowfall at this point looks to be about an inch and a half based off my measurement blocks:

 

 

 

powderfreak, on 17 Jan 2013 - 10:45 AM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png

 

Awesome! Watching the snow accumulate at home while at work. Now that's solid.

What's the triangle block for? I'm assuming that one is painted in 2" increments while the other one is 1"?

 

Yep, you got it, the tiny one (piece of a porch post I believe) has 1” increments alternating in black and white, and the triangle block is a piece of leftover pressure treated wood with 2” increments alternating in brown and white.  I’ve got a couple of those and I’ll place them in different spots to corroborate the measurements.  I also have one more made on a scrap piece of pressure treated 4 x 4 that has 3” increments and goes up to about a foot – that’s good if we’re going to be out of town and a larger storm is coming etc.

 

I had been using the web cam on my wife’s computer for a couple of years when we would travel, but that’s been a bit finicky lately (and it’s a hassle moving the entire computer around), so I bought a Dropcam.  They’re indoor cams, but for only about $150, you’ve got real time HD video of whatever you want (with sound, but I have that turned off since I don’t need it for snowfall observations).  It’s super simple to set up (it’s basically a camera with a AC plug on the end) and it connects to the wireless network in your house.  But yeah, aside from being able to monitor accumulations (during travel, storms where the snow may melt before I have time to measure, etc.), it’s also kind of nice to be able to pop open a window with HD video of the snow falling at the house.  I don’t have a smart phone or tablet or anything, but you can also watch it on those.  Today I was just sort of curious how things would go with the frontal passage, so I hooked it up.

 

 

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