January 19th, 2013 – Waterbury Winter Weather Event Updates



Thursday, January 17th, 2013



A quick glance at the graphics for our point forecast suggests that we’re getting back into a more typical winter pattern for the Northern Greens




In terms of outdoor recreation, a downside is that we’re probably dropping into the freezer on Monday, but that’s obviously better than being too warm in terms of the snowpack.  In his broadcast this morning, Roger Hill spoke to the building snowpack with the upcoming pattern.



Friday, January 18th, 2013



powderfreak, on 18 Jan 2013 - 4:43 PM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png


BTV zone forecast for Lamoille County looks really nice for this weekend... robust.

Tonight: Mostly clear with a chance of snow until midnight...then cloudy with snow after midnight. Snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Lows around 6 above. Light and variable winds. Chance of snow 90 percent.

Saturday: Cloudy. Snow in the morning...then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Total snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent.

Saturday Night: Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Sunday: Snow showers likely. Light snow accumulation possible. Highs in the upper 20s. Temperature falling to around 18 in the afternoon. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of snow 60 percent.

Sunday Night: Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Much colder with lows around 7 below. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.




My target for getting back out to ski has been to see that 7-day (post-thaw) total at Stowe hit the one foot mark.  It’s currently at 5” as of midday today, so it wouldn’t surprise me at all if we got there at some point during the long weekend based on that forecast.





Saturday, January 19th, 2013



Event totals: 1.6” Snow/0.10” L.E.


The snow on the board this morning seemed a lot more like synoptic snow than the previous couple of events – I found 1.6” of accumulation, just like at my 6:00 P.M. Thursday measurement, but this stack contained exactly twice the amount of liquid.  Not surprisingly, flakes have been fairly small in the 1-4 mm diameter range.  This event just pushed season snowfall past the 70” mark, so I did a quick assessment to see where things stand climatologically.  Snowfall is currently at 88.9% of average based on my data.  Picking up roughly a half foot of snowfall in the past few days has helped catch up a bit after the slow period, but season snowfall relative to average is still a bit down from where it was on December 31st when snowfall was at 109% of average.  It doesn’t look like this event is quite done yet though based on the radar:




Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations:


New Snow: 1.6 inches

New Liquid: 0.10 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 16.0

Snow Density: 6.3% H2O

Temperature: 19.8 F

Sky: Light Snow (1-4 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 6.5 inches



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