January 28th, 2013 – Waterbury Winter Weather Event Updates



Monday, January 28th, 2013



After hearing their morning broadcasts, both Bob Minsenberger and Roger Hill are going with a general 2-4” of snow for Northern Vermont with the potential for 6” in the mountains from the incoming storm.  The BTV NWS seems to have similar thoughts, with the highest amounts over in Northern New York and Central Vermont on their accumulations map:



There aren’t any advisories up for BTV’s zones in the Northern 2/3 of Vermont, but accumulations from the next couple of periods in our point forecast sum to 2-5” of snow through tonight.



As of ~3:00 P.M. it looks like roughly two inches of snow have accumulated here on the UVM campus.  Visibility is in the half mile range, so presumably moderate snowfall.



CardinalWinds, on 28 Jan 2013 - 5:19 PM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png


2.5" here on the Montpelier side of the Montpelier/Middlesex town line at 875'. Slacked off to small grains for about half an hour but it's coming down nicely again.

We gonna have any snow left on the ground outside the ski places by Thursday morning, PF or J.Spin?


I’m really bad with figuring out if snow is going to melt, so I’m not a great one to ask.  Hearing the comments about all the snow disappearing from one system cutting to our west sounds sort of dramatic to me though; we’ve currently got roughly an inch and a half of liquid in our snowpack at the house, plus whatever is going into it with the current system, so it seems weird that it would just disintegrate because of a day in the 40s F with some rain.



powderfreak, on 28 Jan 2013 - 6:07 PM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png


2.5" in Stowe now.

J.Spin... I assume you aren't home yet? The Winooski Valley and BTV/CPV area seemed to be under the best banding for a bit... I bet you'll have a decent stack on the snowboard (3"<).


I’m on the bus right now approaching Waterbury, but I just spoke with my wife at home and she says it looks like 3-4” on the snowboard.  She also said she had about 4” on her car when she left Morrisville probably an hour or so ago, but that the Waterbury area had the trickiest driving.  Take the numbers with a grain of salt of course since she’s just eyeballing it, but I’m planning to run a full analysis off the snowboard at 6:00 P.M.



Event totals: 3.0” Snow/0.15” L.E.


Arriving at the Waterbury Park and Ride this evening, I found what appeared to be 3-4” of snow on the ground, and 2-3” on my car.  The snow is some beautiful Vermont fluff – I just did one pass around the car with my hand and it all collapsed off the windows.  Driving wasn’t too bad; there were a couple inches of slushy snow on the roads.  It was actually pretty fun throwing a little vinegar into the turns with the Subaru.  My wife estimated 3-4” on the snowboard at the house, and I found exactly 3.0” on there, so she managed to get it on the low end of her estimate.  I guessed that the snow was in the 6% H2O range, which was pretty close as it came in at 5.0%.  We’ve just had light snow since the 6:00 P.M. observations, but I’ve seen some big flakes over 1” in diameter.  There’s another 0.6” on the snowboard now, which actually makes this the largest storm so far for 2013.


Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations:


New Snow: 3.0 inches

New Liquid: 0.15 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 20.0

Snow Density: 5.0% H2O

Temperature: 19.0 F

Sky: Light Snow (1-4 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 8.0 inches



powderfreak, on 28 Jan 2013 - 7:41 PM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png


BTV increased the advisory one more tier of counties northward... including BTV and MPV.


Thanks for the update PF; I added the latest maps below – they’ve got us close to that 4-6” range now (it looks like they’ve got a chunk of that darker blue marking the Bolton Valley area at the northern part of the Chittenden/Washington County Line, although it sounds like you guys up in Stowe will easily be in that range with that band.  There’s an inch on the board here as of ~9:00 P.M., so 4.0 inches for the event.





Tuesday, January 29th, 2013



Event totals: 4.4” Snow/0.21” L.E.


Snow has tapered off a lot now, but there’s still a bit falling.  Latest observations are below: 


Details from the 12:00 A.M. Waterbury observations:


New Snow: 1.4 inches

New Liquid: 0.06 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 23.3

Snow Density: 4.3% H2O

Temperature: 20.7 F

Sky: Light Snow (1-4 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 9.0 inches



Event totals: 4.5” Snow/0.21” L.E.


There was a final tenth of an inch of snow after midnight to finish off this event. 


Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations:


New Snow: 0.1 inches

New Liquid: Trace

Temperature: 20.1 F

Sky: Cloudy

Snow at the stake: 9.0 inches



I made some turns up at Bolton Valley this morning and can pass along some snow observations through to Burlington.  The resort was reporting 4-5” inches in the morning snow report, and indeed I found that the settled depth of the new snow was 4” at the Timberline Base (1,500’).  Areas that hadn’t been skied in the past week or so were yielding some nice powder turns with 8-10” of unconsolidated snow atop the subsurface.  In the valleys, I found that accumulations from yesterday really tapered off a few miles to the west of our house in Bolton Flats.  I’m not sure what they actually picked up yesterday, but it couldn’t have been much, because through to Jonesville it looks like there are just a couple of inches of total snow on the ground.  Interestingly, snow accumulations pick up by the Richmond area, and westward through to Burlington the snow is much deeper.  I was really surprised when I checked the NWS climate report and saw that Burlington picked up 5.2” yesterday – and even more surprised to see that they are at 49.1” of snow for the season.  I know we got the heads up the other day in the thread that Burlington’s snowfall was ahead of average, but it’s amazing to think that it’s at almost 50”. I’m not sure how it compares to some of the actual climate stations, but it’s higher than most season totals I’ve seen on Kevin’s New England snow total table.


Snowfall up and down the spine of the Greens was quite consistently in that 3-6” range from this event, tapering off just a bit in the most southern areas to the lower end of that range.  The north to south listing of available 24-hour snowfall totals from the Vermont ski areas are below:


Jay Peak: 5”

Burke: 6”

Smuggler’s Notch: 5”

Stowe: 6”

Bolton Valley: 5”

Mad River Glen: 6”

Sugarbush: 5”

Middlebury: 4”

Pico: 6”

Killington: 6”

Okemo: 6”

Bromley: 3”

Magic Mountain: 4”

Stratton: 4”

Mount Snow: 3”



Thursday, January 31st, 2013



powderfreak, on 30 Jan 2013 - 9:03 PM, said:https://www.amwx.us/public/style_images/American_Weather/snapback.png


57F in Stowe Village and 53F at base of ski resort.
55/51 here on RT 108 (Mountain Rd) between the two.


I was in Morrisville yesterday afternoon, and driving back toward Waterbury I saw temperatures in the low to mid 40s F range on the car thermometer.  As I headed westward back in the direction of the house, I figured that the temperature would rise, since we’re generally a little more prone to warmth moving in from the Champlain Valley than places that are farther east of the spine.  The temperature actually dropped as I headed west though, and it was around 40 F at the house.


When I saw your post above yesterday evening, it seemed like it was just a matter of time before temperatures would jump up into the 50s F around our place, since temperatures had risen both west and east of the spine.  I guess we were sheltered from that though, because the temperature just hung around 40 F all night and it was at 41.4 F this morning at observations time.  During Roger Hill’s morning broadcast, he had the DJ check on the temperature at the WDEV studio in the center of Waterbury as he often does, and that came in at 39 F, so it was actually even colder there than what we had at the house.


In terms of the snowpack at our location, it was down about an inch this morning from where it stood before the latest snowstorm the other day.  Not surprisingly, that recent fluffy snow melted pretty quickly, but the base layer is much denser so it’s much more resistant to the warmth and rain.


Roger Hill made mention of multiple chances for accumulating snow showers all the way out through the beginning of next week, so that will be helpful in reinvigorating the snow pack, and eventually softening up the ski surfaces.  Our graphical point forecast is a lot wintrier looking now without the showers/rain icons sitting in there the way they’ve been the past few days:




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